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Suppose a drunk leaves the bar and staggers around one-foot long steps to the right and to the left at random. Is it more likely that the drunk will be close to the bar or far way ? Why?
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Neither, if it's random then the probability for each event (stepping to the right or stepping to the left) is equal (1/2), which should average the displacement of the drunk at zero from the starting point.
so what will you predict the drunk's average distance from the bar will be after he has taken many steps?
it will be as he started, zero displacement
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