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Pls help:) A box contains 2 red cards, 3 blue cards and 4 yellow cards. Mary repeats drawing one card at a time randomly from the box with replacement until a red card is drawn. Find the probability that Mary needs at least three draws.
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@kryton1212
thanks
The probability of drawing a red on any draw is \(p= 2/9.\) The probability of successfully drawing a red at the kth draw is $$ P(X=k)=(1-p)^{k-1}p $$ The probability that at least 3 draws is required is $$ P(X \ge 3)=1-P(X<3)=1-P(X\le2)=1-\left[ (p+(1-p)p\right ] $$ Here we used the Geometric Distribution: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geometric_distribution
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