Question

Probability Questions:

At a toll station we can assume people are trying to smuggle wares.
The chance of a person being checked is 0.15. If a smuggler get checked, the chance he will be revealed is 0,9.


A person is trying to smuggle.

- What is the probability that he will be checked and not revealed?

- What is the probability he will pass the toll station without being revealed?

- A smuggler has passed the toll station without being revealed. What is the probability that this smuggler had been checked?

Answer 1

I believe the correct answer to the first point would be 0.15 * 0.9 = 0.015 (1,5% probability)
Could someone confirm it?