Question

Assume that the business makes a profit with probability 0.4 in the first year. For each year thereafter, the business makes a profit with probability 0.6 if it made a profit in the previous year, and with probability 0.2 if it did not make a profit in the previous year.
What is the probability that the business makes a profit in exactly two of its first three years?

Answer 1

0.228 is the answer

Answer 2

that was wrong @carlyleukhardt