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a bowling team has 5 members-- Marcie, Lou, Helen, Peggy, and Sue. The strike probabilities for each are given by .2, .4, .2, .3, and .3 respectively. Once play has begun, any of the 5 bowlers is equally likely to be the bowler actually bowling. Assume that we see a strike has just been made, what is the probability that it was made by Marcie?
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