Jaycee follows baseball closely. This season, his favorite professional player has a batting average of 0.250 , or 25% . This means that, on average, he gets one hit every four times he is at bat. Jaycee wants to know the likelihood that his favorite player will get at least two hits in the five times he'll be at bat. So Jaycee conducted a simulation to find out. He programmed a random number generator to give numbers between 1 and 4, with an outcome of 1 indicating a hit. His results are shown here.
Based on Jaycee's data, what is the probability that his favorite baseball player will get at least two hits in the next game, with five times at bat?
a. 20% b. 25% c. 75% d. 80%
Between 1 and 4 was a mistake. He wants between 0 and 4, or between 1 and 5.
sorry, you didn't mean "between"
So how many of those series show two or more hits?
I gave the attachment its on there, u can see that
It's on there, u can see that. You have to be willing to do some work! :)
I can really figure it out
So of 12 simulations, how many does the player hit the ball at least twice?
5?
How did you get 5? How do you decide from this data whether he hits the ball at least twice in a given simulation?
*and correction, there are 16 simulations, not 12
for example, in the first simulation, we have 3,3,1,4,2 How many hits are there?
Well, "1" denotes a hit, so in this simulation there is only 1 hit out of five. So this simulation does not meet the criteria of "at least two hits"
What about the next simulation 2,2,3,3,3 Does that meet the "at least two hit" criteria?
Yes i think
No it does not, because "1" denotes a hit and none of 2,2,3,3,3 is a "1" So in this simulation, the player does hit the ball even once.
What about in the next simulation 3,2,2,3,3 Does this meet the "at least two hits" criteria?
No
Right. So now, recount across the 16 simulations how many meet the criteria.
ah, i forgot how to do that, um sorry :(
Let's step through a couple more. What's the fourth simulation?
quick, I can't stay here all day.
i m sorry :(
wait, i m tryin
The fourth simulation is 3,4,3,3,4 Do you see where I'm getting that in your data?
yes
Ok, in this simulation 3,4,3,3,4 How many hits are there?
14
?
From your problem set up, we have "He programmed a random number generator to give numbers between 1 and 4, with an outcome of 1 indicating a hit." So in this simulation, 3,4,3,3,4 how many 1s are there?
well, 5
What are you talking about? In the sequence of numbers 3,4,3,3,4 there are no 1s.
? im sorry :( i m really worst
There are one 3s and 4s.
So in this simulation 3,4,3,3,4 tell me how many 1s there are?
same as b4, isnt it?
just tell me explicitly how many 1s
3 n 4
No, there are no 1s in 3,4,3,3,4 Where are the 1s? There's aren't any. So no 1s. Do you agree?
yes
Now, what's the meaning of this? Well, in this simulation a 1 means the player hits the ball when it is pitched to him. Any other number means the player did not hit the ball. So in this simulation 3,4,3,3,4 how many times does the player hit the ball?
3 and 4
No. 1 means the player hits the ball. 2 or 3 or 4 means the player did NOT hit ball. So in this simulation, with data 3,4,3,3,4 how many times does the player hit the ball?
I think 4?
Lord no. Let's go back to the beginning.
Jaycee follows baseball closely. This season, his favorite professional player has a batting average of 0.250 , or 25% . This means that, on average, he gets one hit every four times he is at bat. Jaycee wants to know the likelihood that his favorite player will get at least two hits in the five times he'll be at bat. So Jaycee conducted a simulation to find out. He programmed a random number generator to give numbers between 1 and 4, with an outcome of 1 indicating a hit. His results are shown here.
Um extremely sorry :( i m makin mad, oh no!
If we choose a random number from 1, 2, 3 and 4, what is the chance that that number will be 1?
Plz forgive me for these thing
If we choose a random number from 1, 2, 3 and 4, what is the chance that that number will be 1?
5 ?
I got no
If you toss a fair coin, what is the chance it will be heads?
tails
If you toss a fair coin, what is the chance it will be heads?
what is the probability that the coin will come up heads?
1/2. The probability the coin comes up heads is 1/2, 0.5 or 50% Make sense?
oh sorry! Pls forgive me :( for all that
Do you understand the coin? If you understand that, we will have something to build on to answer your question.
So it wud b 25%, got it, am i right?
How did you arrive at 25?
How did you arrive at 25%?
I just guess from that which u told,the probability the coin comes up heads is 1/2, 0.5 or 50%
No, i think um wrong, sorry guys!
Thing is i dont understand probability at all, even i read the lessons thousand time still not working, thats y, i m asking help :(
Why its so hard for me? :(
actually, u also improved me alot in many math, chloro. thats y, i don't ask much from anyone, it just today i m stuck with this :(
I m sorry @JamesJ u tried to help me very well, its just me, who doesnt know anything :(
Thnk u for coming to help and helping me so far with patience, bt u did gr8, its just me who failed to understand :(
can u guys able to help me?
No :(
I guess nobody wont able to do :( cuz i m really worse
hello
i can help
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