CALCULUS- compound interest and elasticity question?
Suppose the Canadian real estate market can be described by the following model. The price of the average detached single family house P = Pe + Pd consists of two components: the equity component Pe (this is the cash down-payment when you buy a house) and the debt component Pd (this is the amount financed by a loan). We assume that the equity component is constant Pe = $200000 whereas the debt component follows an exchange equation MV = PdQ at every time. Here, Q is the number of existing houses, M denotes the total amount of mortgages held on the books of the banks, and V denotes the velocity of credit money in the real estate market. We assume that V = 1/3 is constant. On January 1, 2012, Q is 5 million units, growing at a rate of 50000 per year, and Pd is $200000. (a) If the banks are reducing their lending standards such that M increases at a rate of $300 billion per year, at what rate (in percent) does the average house price P increase? (b) If, however, there is no new mortgage lending and the current borrowers only pay back their existing loans, M decreases at a rate of $30 billion per year. Calculate the relative rate of change of the average house price P in this situation.
(a) \[MV=PdQ\]\[\frac{1}{3}M=Pd*Q\]\[Pd=\frac{M}{3*Q}\]\[P = $200,000+Pd\]\[\frac{dM}{dt}=$300 \ B/yr\]\[\frac{dQ}{dt}=50,000\ units/yr\]\[\frac{dP}{dt}=0+\frac{dPd}{dt}=\frac{d\frac{M}{3*Q}}{dt}\]Quotient Rule...
ok....
Do you remember how to express the derivative of a quotient?
you mean the formula?
Yes
g'(x)h(x)-g(x)h'(x)/(h(x))^2
so h(x) = Q(t) = 5 million and g(x) = M(t) = 3*$200,000*5 Million Q'(t) = 50,000 units/year and M'(t) = $300 Billion/year
\[\frac{d\frac{M}{3Q}}{dt}=\frac{1}{3}\frac{d\frac{M}{Q}}{dt}=\frac{1}{3}\frac{Q(t)M'(t)-M(t)Q'(t)}{Q(t)^2}\]
ok...that seems a little complicated. so i plug q'(t) and m'(t) and then?
q(t), q'(t), m(t) and m'(t)
wait scratch that.
so sloving this will give me the final answer for (a)
and then convert it into percentage?
It gives you the change in price per year. To solve for percentage, you need to divide the price change by the price, $400,000.
then for part (b) you will replace M'(t) = $300 B/yr to M'(t) = -$30 B/yr
so [(1/3)(quotient rule answer)] /400000 =answer?
Yes, let me know what you've got.
give a couple of minutes. never dealt in millions and billions
Yeah, scientific notation is useful here.
18000 @Valpey
1800/400000 = 0.045
what do you think?
Yes
4.5% increase in Price.
GREAT!! so can you help with part cb?
*b
Like I said, just replace M'(t) = $300 B/yr with M'(t) = -$30 B/yr (a contraction in the money supply, M, will lower market prices, P)
sorry but where did you get the 4000000? and do i do the same with part b too?
i.e. [(1/3)(derivative)]/400000?
P = Pe + Pd Pd = $200,000 and Pe = $200,000 so P = $400,000
The point is that modeling a change in debt affects overall price, even if equity stays the same. But you want to show how the net effect is on overall prices in percentage terms.
ok
Thank you very much for your help
Sure thing.
learnt a lot
Oh, cool. Cheers.
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