Jason inherited a piece of land from his great-uncle. Owners in the area claim that there is a 45% chance that the land has oil. Jason decides to test the land for oil. He buys a kit that claims to have an 80% accuracy rate of indicating oil in the soil. If the test predicts that there is no oil, what is the probability after the test that the land has oil?
0.1698
0.2217
0.5532
0.7660
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
@ganeshie8
OpenStudy (anonymous):
@saifoo.khan @texaschic101
OpenStudy (anonymous):
the two events are independent
A = the land has oil
B = the kit is not accurate
P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)
OpenStudy (anonymous):
So how would I solve this
@jakashaka123
OpenStudy (anonymous):
P(A∩K)
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
P(ANK)
OpenStudy (anonymous):
???
OpenStudy (anonymous):
Denote A to be the event that oil is present, so P(A)=0.45. Then P(A′), the complement of A, is 0.55.
OpenStudy (anonymous):
Denote A to be the event that oil is present, so P(A)=0.45. Then P(A) the complement of A, is 0.55.
OpenStudy (anonymous):
So is it C
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
i can put up too many parenthesis ...
OpenStudy (anonymous):
Is it C
OpenStudy (anonymous):
try B
OpenStudy (anonymous):
@jakashaka123
OpenStudy (anonymous):
just try b for b**** A** question
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