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Mathematics 49 Online
OpenStudy (anonymous):

a dice is thrown four times. what is the probability that it we will get the same number at last twice???

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

Count the possibilities, to get those results, without counting anything more than once. e.g. there are 6 results where all three are the same. Then divide that number by the number of all possible outcomes (which is 6^3)

OpenStudy (anonymous):

I do not understand ur reasoning?

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

It is an Laplace experiment. So in order to get the probability you have to divide the number of positive outcomes by the number of all outcomes.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

but when you throw the dice once, you have the probability 1/6 that it is 5 for example but here the dice is thrown 4 times?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

do i have to multiply the probabilities?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

or is it conditional probability p(A/b)

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

no, you should take every quadruple-combination as a single outcome.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

so in total there are 6^4 results I think?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

now how do i find the rest?

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

yes, true

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

There are certainly several ways to count. I would count the disjount situations 1 Pair; 2 Pairs and 1 Tripel seperately. Use binomial to see which of the dices are equal and then multiply with the possible count of numbers.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

is it 66/6^4

OpenStudy (anonymous):

yes, thats what i did and i think there were 66?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

toooooo complicated, nyway thank you

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

Well I get 6*6*5*4+4*6*5+6*6*5 = 1020 which makes about .787

OpenStudy (anonymous):

not sure......

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

ah ok, I really made it too complicated you should look at the complementary event: "all 4 numbers are different"

OpenStudy (nowhereman):

there you can count easily 6*5*4*3 = 360

OpenStudy (anonymous):

ah, got it now, thats easier

OpenStudy (anonymous):

so the answer must b 6*5*4/6^4

OpenStudy (anonymous):

now yes! thanx

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