Question

Review the statistics for Country X and consider the following questions:

Answer 1

i think for b its its stage 4 because of the birth rate is low and the population has not grown but by about 40 thousand or so which is not much over a ten to twelve year period

Answer 2

40 thousand? you mean 40 million? :/

Answer 3

yes 40 million but the death rate is down and the birth rate is also down in that ten to twelve year period and the fertility rate is only at 2.21 percent which is like one out of every 1000 women are having kids

Answer 4

you have to look at in fourty years the population of country x grew by a factor of three and so every twelve years or so the population grew by fifty million

Answer 5

so the over all population is slowing down

Answer 6

are you sure it's not stage 3?

Answer 7

oh wait, nvm. you're probably right

Answer 8

from 1950 to 1990 it grew by a factor of three and in the years between 1990 and 2009 it only grew 40 million so its slowing down

Answer 9

services are 66% and in my lesson, they said in stage 4, they turn to services, not industry

Answer 10

that is only twenty million every ten or so years

Answer 11

you have to look at the data provided and see if it is just getting industrialized or is fully industrialized to make you determination

Answer 12

this is my first note for stage 4:

"occurs when a country moves away from relying on industry and becomes more service-based"

Answer 13

I really think b is stage 4 because if services are just getting turned on that would account for the drop in death and less children being born because families would not need to be as large to make a living because people are mostly living in metropolitan areas so no need for large families

Answer 14

so i think it's in stage 4, thanks vortish :)

Answer 15

no problem just look at the data and go from there lets look at c now and you can call me Mr. Pierce JP or just jeff Ari we work well so i think a first name biases is order dont you

Answer 16

yes, i think so too jeff :)

Answer 17

is this good?

Country X is in Stage 4 of the DMT. This is because birth and death rates are down and the population is slowly growing. Also, 66% of the labor force are services, and Stage 4 occurs when a country moves away from industry and becomes more service-based.

Answer 18

i knew this guy once. he went by the name of JP. he was a creep. he kept saying, "i like you. i like you a lot" :l so i'll call you jeff lol

Answer 19

that looks good for b and that is fine ari

Answer 20

what can we say for c? :/ i can't think of anything

Answer 21

C you have to look at the data. The economy in one year between 08 and 09 fell by 0.2 percent. While that does not seem like much 2 tenths of a percent with a pop approaching 160 million people is a lot if the gross per capita income is 10 thousand dollars a year. and country x gross domestic product is only 1.5 trillion so if we take 1.5 trillion and divide 0.2 we will find that the country is hemorrhaging money because most of the population of working age is in a service based industry does that make sense

Answer 22

wat

Answer 23

so the economy is weakening?

Answer 24

can't support the population?

Answer 25

you make the conclusion ari sense most of the country is in service based industry they are not making products for export and their ag related industry is down and industry is low so i would say yes their economy is slowing down

Answer 26

they are exporting some stuff

Answer 27

just not enough

Answer 28

oh

Answer 29

what's a service-based industry anyway? :l

Answer 30

the exports are not enough to cover the population

Answer 31

hotels fast food cops fire that kind of thing

Answer 32

oh ok

Answer 33

any thing that does not make a product or grow some thing is a service based economy the USA is a service-industrial economy

Answer 34

how's this?

We can conclude that the country’s economy is weakening. In 2008, the GDP real growth rate was 5.1% and in 2009, it was -0.2%. Since most of the population works in services, the amount of exports is not enough to support a growing economy with such a large population.

Answer 35

that is ok but i would say that because the country's economy is largely serviced based and they do not have enough exports the economy is weakening to the point that it can no longer support the ever growing population. In one year the country's GDP or Gross Domestic Product fell by 0.2 of a percent and if this tend continues the country is in a recession

Answer 36

they do not export enough to keep the economy running so the economy is weakening

Answer 37

mmk

Answer 38

so in 2030, will the country's population be declining?

Answer 39

yes

Answer 40

The data shows a down hill slide for country x

Answer 41

By 2030, we can assume that most, if not all, of Country X’s labor force will be service-based. Having kids would be more of an economic liability rather than an asset, so birth rates would drop significantly. Death rates would be higher than birth rates, leading to the conclusion that Country X’s population would be declining.

Answer 42

sounds good

Answer 43

yay :) powerpoint time :/

Answer 44

lol

Answer 45

these powerpoints are getting on my nerves now. why does EVERYTHING need to be a presentation?

Answer 46

i know the feeling

Answer 47

well at least this one will be shorter than the others. i'm running out of catchy closing lines though :/

Answer 48

you will come up with some thing kido i know you will

Answer 49

you seem to have more confidence than me lol

Answer 50

that is what tutors are for kido

Answer 51

if you need any thing else let me know

Answer 52

ok, thanks again jeff :)

Answer 53

if nothing else for tonight im going to watch a show and get ready for math tomorrow k im going to need help

Answer 54

nothing else tonight, go watch your show! and i'll help ya tomorrow :)

Answer 55

@vortish this is the feedback from my presentation

"Hi Arielle,

Thanks for your submission! Use some of the population skills you learned in the module to determine the numerical prediction of the population in 2030...

Let me know if I can help,
Mr Herbert
Grade: 80 / 100"

Answer 56

so i need a number :/

Answer 57

maybe 150,000,000?

Answer 58

we need to look at this like a algebra problem if the population in 2009 is 197 million it still going to grow just more slowly than in other years so lets take the number of births and the number of deaths and see what we come up with

Answer 59

but i thought the population was going to decline :/

Answer 60

it is going to decline but not till 2016 to 2018 so you have to add ten percent to the number of in 2009 and then reduce that by five by 2030

Answer 61

and that would be the number we would need

Answer 62

can you show me?

Answer 63

because it is still growing and even at a reduced rate of growth it is still going to grow and if you look at the figure for 1990-2009 it was growing and so for the next decade it going to grow but reduce that figure of 40 million for that 20 years by half every ten years so in 2019 that figure is going to be 10 million more and and by 2029 that is going to be five million so so the population for country x is going to be 223000000

Answer 64

it would probably be 239 or 2049 before you actually starting see a loss does that make sense

Answer 65

but isn't the growth going to get down every 10 years?

Answer 66

go down*

Answer 67

it is if you look at my numbers every ten years the new number of people in country x is declining by half but it would take fifty years before the loss would show and negative understand

Answer 68

what i mean is the population is slowly growing but in actuality it is losing people by only half the number of new people being born or moving in to country x means that it is slowly on its way to showing a ever decreasing population but it would still grow until 2050 when the population actually showed a net loss of five million and double that every ten years

Answer 69

did that help or confuse you more

Answer 70

i just don't know how you got the number :/ can you show me the math?

Answer 71

1990 - 2009 40 million new people over twenty years cut that in half for a ten year avg. so between 1990-1999 was 20 million and between 2000-2009 was twenty million 2010-2019 ten million by cutting the twenty in half 2019-2029 five million by cutting 10 million in half 2030-2039 five million and so on every ten years the population growth is cut by 1/2

Answer 72

why half?

Answer 73

oh it's only to 2030

Answer 74

the year, 2030

Answer 75

look at the 20 years between 1990 and 2009 it grew 40 million in twenty years so if you take ten years it cuts that 40 million in half so you take that 20 years between 2009 and 2029 and you have to take that 20 million and cut that in half which is ten million per ten years but we want to show that decline so that last ten years between 2019 and 2029 you cut it in half of the ten million your just taking a educated guess that is what the population is going to do because you want to show that it is in a declining state

Answer 76

understand?

Answer 77

yea, i'mma got with 230,000,000

Answer 78

go*

Answer 79

http://calculatorpi.com/cgi-bin/calc.cgi?a=219569117.0%2B10414924.0&submit=Calculate&b=eNpFyrkRACEMA8CCGDjZ4Ee9qXjmIrINVjJ2bXpyWhSKUVs6lsFkLnyuV4ajnX16QXr-Dy6g3hHl#here

Answer 80

thanks again vortish :)

Answer 81

i mean jeff :)

Answer 82

do you understand how I got to that number

Answer 83

yes

Answer 84

it just a matter of looking at the data and using that data to come up with a educated guess on what is going to happen with in country x in 20 years past the data that is given

Answer 85

do think this is better?

By 2030, we can assume that most, if not all, of Country X’s labor force will be service-based. Having kids would be more of an economic liability rather than an asset, so birth rates would drop significantly. Death rates would be higher than birth rates, leading to the conclusion that Country X’s population would be declining. If the population growth decreases by half for every ten years, we can predict that the population in 2030 will probably around 230 million.

Answer 86

do you*

Answer 87

that sounds good to me but i would say that
By 2030 we can assume in country x that a large potion of the population will be in service base businesses. Couples having children will decrease due to the factor of having to find work. The birth rates in country x in the last 20 years of the data provided showed a steady decline in the amount of children been born. Due to this fact we can assume in the year 2030 that the death rate in country x is going to out pace the birth rate leading to a slower population growth with in country x. So by the year 2030 we can assume that the population of country x is going to be around 230 million people and with in the next 20 years after that country x will not have a growing population but a decreasing population

Answer 88

well, without all the grammatical errors

Answer 89

oh

Answer 90

what is the OH for