Question

The table shows the results of drawing colored marbles from a bag.

What would be expected to happen to the experimental probability of drawing a blue marble as the number of draws increases?

A.
The experimental probability will likely decrease.

B.
The experimental probability will likely increase.

C.
The experimental probability will likely stay about the same.

Answer 1

Table: http://static.k12.com/calms_media/media/1416500_1417000/1416601/1/3dbbb9a04d686ceb9713f84a48969ce627bf1211/FGA_130913_160917.jpg

Answer 2

The probability of picking a blue one is 0.25
Experimentally, it was shown to show up 0.2 of the time.
But, according to the Law of Large Numbers, you expect that in the long run, the number of times you draw the blue marble should tend to its expected value. So, you would guess that the experimental probability will likely increase so that it eventually tends to 0.25