The 2024 election is extraordinarily close, who do you think will win?
Based on polling data that I've seen, it appears to be a coin flip to me. Most of the swing states are within margin of error, so it's possible that either candidate could win any of those states. It could even be a landslide for Kamala Harris, or even a landslide for Donald Trump and both wouldn't be an unreasonable guess in my opinion.
neither
B)
538 currently projects 55/45 odds for Trump
If I'd to be completely honest, I'd say it's a 50/50 chance.
According, to most statistics and news platforms, it seems like a pretty close election.
I think Kamala Harris needs to win Pennsylvania and either Wisconsin or Nevada to win, that's her two primary routes. She needs PA to win though.
None of the candidates will probably win by a landslide.
I did recently hear that Trump is campaigning in PA at the moment?
Oh and technically Michigan is a tie as well, but I think it's gonna go to Kamala
Who knows as of right now? We just have to cross our fingers and wait until November.
Election day is in under 2 weeks I suspect.
If Trump wins Pennsylvania, he's guaranteed the win, unless North Carolina or Georgia flip
2.5M+ Georgians have voted or have done early voting.
So it's looking like Kamala Harris needs to do slightly more work to win than Trump does
Honestly, Trump didn't have to do much when he was running for President 4 years ago either.
In 2020, a large portion of mail-in/early voters were Democrats avoiding crowded areas due to the pandemic, as Republicans were less likely to care about the pandemic
I think voter fraud has been overblown
There's always voter fraud in every election, generally at such small scales that it's irrelevant to the results
The amount of voter fraud in 2020 is so minimal that there's no possible way it influenced the election to any meaningful degree
You're right on that one. But I would like the thank you for revitalizing my political understanding. It seems like you know quite a bit!
I think there's a very big issue with the current landscape of politics though, and it's directly causing the election to be as close as it is when it probably shouldn't be
Its tough really, They both suck if you look at there perspectives. But either way I'd vote for trump bc he's funny😌🤟
He proposed a 60% tariff on all Chinese goods imported into the US, and a flat universal 10-20% tariff on all goods imported into the US. Prices would certainly go up significantly due to that.
50/50 chance
I think Harris will win. I might be biased but shes been drawing in crowds like crazy. Obama's support has also helped her. But I think It will be very close.
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