A lot of 20 components contains 4 that are defective. Two components are drawn at random and tested. Let A be the even that the first component drawn is defective and let B be the event that the second component drawn is defective. (A) find P( A) (B) find P(B|A) (C) P( A∩ B) (d) find P( A^c ∩ B) (e) find P (A ∩ B^c) (f) Find P(A^c ∩ B^c) (g) find P(B) (H) Find P( A U B)
Okay Finding P(A) is easy. It is the possibility of getting a defective component from the total number of components. What will that be?
(4/20)
Good work :)
thank you :) I just have trouble with the others.
I haven't learned this topic so this is new to me
Okay for B) It asks "what is the prob. of B being defective if we know that A was defective?" The answer is the same as always: favorable / total possibility =3/19
ok the symbols were confusing. but that makes sense :)
P(B|A) is read as Probability of B given A.
Okay
Shall we move to C?
yes please
C asks for what is the probability that BOTH are defective. Chance of Event A being defective 3/20 Next event B: 2/19 So simply multiply them to get P(A intersection B) (3/20)*(2/19)
Wait its 4/20 Sorry for typo
ok but for Even A being defective is 4/20 right? so ∩ means and?
^^Yes! Happy to see that you understood that.
ok im starting to understand it :)
for D) is it 1-P(A) + P(B)?
Not exactly...Can I leave for dinner? I will get back to you on this.
ok thank you ill be here :)
Great :)..Thanks for understanding.
no problem :D
I am back :)
that was quick :)
Indeed :)
Okay so A^c represent A complement. It is the opposite of what A refers to. So what will be P(A^c) ?
so 1- P(A) ?
Yes That is?
0.8
Good.. Now we take B. What is P(B) Now?
3/19
Exactly! Now here is the important part to understand: When we have intersection of some events ie both occur together. Then We use AND and for union we use OR. Mathematically AND operation is done by multiplication and OR operation by addition. This is a very important concept.
Now do you understand why I said 1-P(A)+P(B) is wrong?
yup
So can you correct your mistake?
since this is a intersection we need to multiply
Yes so the answer will be (1-P(A))P(B) rather than 1-P(A)+P(B)
:D i understand it.
Good :D
I think with this knowledge you can do the rest of the questions easily! :)
so for the next part it will be P(A) * (1-P(B))
Indeed ;)
Great
Can you do the rest by yourself?
/answer is 16/95
yes i think i can
I dont want numerical answers. I want you to understand the concept. Then you can get all the answers easily.
Good :)
Yes after you explained the concept its easier to do it. I had no idea what the ∩ and U sign meant.
Havent you done the chapter called "Sets"?
I havent got the textbook for this class. So everything is getting harder to understand.
What grade is this for?
10th
Thank you for all your help!! I had no clue how to do this. now i understand :)
If you have time go through this Chapter on Sets. Then move to probability. Both are closely related. http://www.scs.ryerson.ca/~mth110/Handouts/PD/setbasics.pdf
Thank you I will look through this
You are welcome!
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