The population P of Texas (in thousands) from 1991 through 2000 can be modeled by: P=16,968e^0.019t
where t=1 represents the year 1991. According to this model, when will the population reach 22 million?
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
P is the population in thousands, so how do we represent 22 million?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
22,000?
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
For example, if the population was 1000, then P = 1
if the population was 2000, then P = 2
etc etc
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
good, multiply by 1000 to jump from thousands to millions
OpenStudy (anonymous):
so P=22,000?
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
correct
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
that means you plug in P = 22000 and solve for t
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
P=16,968e^(0.019t)
22000=16,968e^(0.019t)
what's the next step?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
divide by 22000?
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
that'll move over the 22000 to the right side
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
we want to move over things that aren't t to the left side to isolate t
OpenStudy (anonymous):
I don't know how to do that haha
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
16,968e^(0.019t) means 16,968 times e^(0.019t)
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
so we first move over the 16,968 by undoing the multiplication
OpenStudy (anonymous):
so you would divide by 16, 968 then?
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
exactly
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
giving you?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
1.296
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
I'm getting 1.2965582272513, so that's roughly the same
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
so that means e^(0.019t) = 1.2965582272513
what's next?
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
Would you then figure out what e^0.019 is?
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
what undoes exponentiation?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
take the log?
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
correct, specifically the natural log (since that's base e)
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
applying the natural log to both sides (ln...lowercase LN) gives
e^(0.019t) = 1.2965582272513
ln(e^(0.019t)) = ln(1.2965582272513)
0.019t*ln(e) = ln(1.2965582272513)
0.019t*1 = ln(1.2965582272513)
0.019t = ln(1.2965582272513)
hopefully you see which log rules I'm using above. If not, then let me know
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
If you don't have any questions on that chunk of work, what's next?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
so then you would divide by 1.29etc to both sides?
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
no
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
you need to isolate t
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
0.019t is the same as 0.019 times t
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
you move that 0.019 over to isolate t by undoing whatever is being done to 0.019 and t
OpenStudy (anonymous):
sorry my internet connection is really bad right now. You would divide by .019 to isolate t by itself.
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
correct
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
divide both sides by 0.019
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
0.019t = ln(1.2965582272513)
t = ln(1.2965582272513)/0.019
t = ???
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
13.669117
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
I'm getting the same
OpenStudy (anonymous):
so 13.7 years approximately. add that to 1991 and you'd get 2004.7?
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
round that to the nearest whole year to get t = 14
so the population will happen in the middle of year 13, but it's definitely over 22 million on year 14
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
I'd say 1991 + 14 = 2005
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
So between 2004 and 2005
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
yeah exactly
OpenStudy (anonymous):
thanks!
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
if they want a whole year, then go for 2005 since 2004 will fall short of 22 million
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
yw
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jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
oh wait
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
t = 1 represents 1991
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
so you add the result to 1990 not 1991
jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):
1990 + 13 = 2003
1990 + 14 = 2004
so it's in between 2003 and 2004 (go with 2004 if they want a whole numbered year)