Suppose a die is rolled twice and let B = {first toss is a 3} D = {second toss is a 3} Find the requested probability. (Enter the probability as a fraction.) P(B ∪ D)
it would help if you looked at a table of all 36 possibilities
so there's 6 possibilities for both, so now what do I do?
you want their union
lets identify B and D first toss three B= { (3,1 ) (3,2) ( 3,3) (3,4) (3 , 5 ) (3 , 6) } second toss is a three D = { (1,3) (2,3) (3,3) (4,3) ( 5,3 ) ( 6,3) }
B union D = { (3,1 ) (3,2) ( 3,3) (3,4) (3 , 5 ) (3 , 6) (1,3) (2,3) (3,3) (4,3) ( 5,3 ) ( 6,3) } do you see there is an term counted twice, we have to delete that
B union D fixed = { (3,1 ) (3,2) (3,4) (3 , 5 ) (3 , 6) (1,3) (2,3) (3,3) (4,3) ( 5,3 ) ( 6,3) }
the sample point (3,3) was counted twice , since it was in the intersection of the column and row
P(B union D ) = P(B) + P(D) - P( B & D )
so there are two ways to do this, you can manually count up the points in the sample space
or you can use the addition formula
which way do you recommend?
either is fine. the first way gives you 11/36 the second way gives you 1/6 + 1/6 - 1/36
Thank you so much!!
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