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Mathematics 10 Online
OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

The data to the right comes from the last baseball season.

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Wow. I certainly hope you're not in any kind of hurry :D I've figured it out, it's almost exactly like our previous problem, just, more work. Think of it as more exciting lol. You up for it?

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

yes of course

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

The only difference between this and our last problem (in essence) is that we don't have the venn diagram yet; we'll make it ourselves. Now, we could proceed without the Venn diagram, but I feel that would make life a lot easier. Ready to get drawing? XD

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

yes lol xD

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

|dw:1457103677081:dw| Let's do this

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Could you, uhh, choose two letters, not A or B, because they're taken

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

|dw:1457107290719:dw|

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

idk lol any letter would be good :)

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Hehe Miss Danielle (that's your name, right?) is getting ahead of herself again. Take a deep breath...

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

lol its a habit of mine in math xD and yes my name is Danielle

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Pleasure. Despite my name and profile, my name is Kurt. Now, I like your initiative, but let me first point out WHY your idea is incorrect:

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

|dw:1457103884770:dw| I take it you meant this circle to represent those that made at least 20 home runs, yes?

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

yes

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Unfortunately, if you really think about it, NOW, you've just made that equal to 35% instead of 28 as is written in your given :P Remember? To get P(B), you add ALL of the numbers in the circle. You have a 28 AND a 7 Not quite right, don't you think? ^^

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

oh so I have to subtract 7

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

I may not agree with your initiative all the time, but we can't deny that your instinct serves you well ^^ You're spot on :D The people who hit at least 20 home runs should be exactly 28%, and since you already have 7% accounted for, how much more are lacking?

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

21 and finally it pays off to get ahead of myself lol

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Don't make it a habit, though :P Can't hurt to think carefully before you act :D Dammit, I'm having a hard time, so I'll assign letters myself X is the percent of those that have an average of at least 300 Y is the percent of those that have hit at least 20 home runs. So that we now have: |dw:1457104277382:dw| Can you fill in the rest of the X-circle?

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

|dw:1457107929494:dw|

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Good. Now to the tricky part :D

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

We're considering two, uhh, situations. A: A player with an average of at least 300, will also hit at least 20 home runs So, it means, a player is already in X, we're checking the chances that the player is also in Y. That's the probability of Y, GIVEN that X is already true. Or P(Y|X) Look familiar?

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

7/21

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

1/3=0.33

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

No, lol, where the heck did you get 21? haha

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

omg sorry I got confused with the y instead of x hold on I got this

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

ok it would be 7+13=20 to get the whole x value then 7/20 to get x/y right?

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

X|Y It's a vertical bar, not a slanted one >:( LOL And yes, 7/20. Please express that in a percent ^^

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

35

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

and sorry lol I was just a bit too lazy

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

35% Good ^^ Now, look at scenario B. It's just the reverse. B: A player with at least 20 home runs, will also have an average of at least 300. You got this?

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

yes 7/28=25%

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Brilliant. So. P(A) = P(Y|X) = 35% P(B) = P(X|Y) = 25% Think you can answer this now? :P

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

A is more likely than B?

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

Well done ^^

OpenStudy (daniellelovee):

yay thank you! :D

terenzreignz (terenzreignz):

thank yourself HAHA

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