a bag contains 2 green marbles, 4 blue marbles, and 5 red marbles. What is the probability of choosing 2 blue marbles, if the first marble is returned to the bag before the second marble is chosen?
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
total number of marbles is 11 and the probability that the first one is blue is
\[\frac{4}{11}\]
also the probability that the second one is blue is
\[\frac{4}{11}\] and you want the probability that they are both blue. answer is
\[\frac{4}{11}\times \frac{4}{11}\]
OpenStudy (anonymous):
make a tree diagram it's way easier to understand what's happening here.
OpenStudy (anonymous):
if the first one was not returned to the bag it would be
\[\frac{4}{11}\times \frac{3}{10}\]
OpenStudy (anikate):
slow down
i dont understand anything
OpenStudy (anonymous):
i will help you anikate
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OpenStudy (anikate):
k thx
OpenStudy (anonymous):
you can make a tree, but it is a fact that since the events are independent (meaning the outcome of one doesn't change the outcome of the other) that
\[P(A\cap B)=P(A)\times P(B)\]
OpenStudy (anonymous):
memorizing formulas won't get you anywhere in life lol
OpenStudy (anikate):
i am just 7th grade
OpenStudy (anonymous):
true but if you want to compute things you will need to know under what circumstances to add, subtract, multiply or divide
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OpenStudy (anikate):
plz help me with my question
OpenStudy (anonymous):
how many marbles in the bag total?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
start out with 3 lines...one for green one for blue and one for red. mark on each line the probability for that specific color on the first pick. for example, red would be 5/11, blue 4/11, green 2/11.
OpenStudy (anonymous):
since you are replacing the marble you took, the probability doesn't change on the second pick
OpenStudy (anonymous):
2
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OpenStudy (anikate):
hello?
OpenStudy (anikate):
plz help me
OpenStudy (anonymous):
anikate i answered you, look up
OpenStudy (anikate):
nothing came up
OpenStudy (anikate):
hello?
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
start out with 3 lines...one for green one for blue and one for red. mark on each line the probability for that specific color on the first pick. for example, red would be 5/11, blue 4/11, green 2/11.
since you are replacing the marble you took, the probability doesn't change on the second pick. it's 4/11X4/11. So 16/121
OpenStudy (anikate):
still got nothing
OpenStudy (anonymous):
Ok, look. You don't need to worry about the probabilities for the red and green marbles since it's only the blues you care about. Just compute the probability of choosing a blue marble first.
OpenStudy (anonymous):
How many blue marbles are in the bag?
OpenStudy (anikate):
2
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
"a bag contains 2 green marbles, 4 blue marbles, and 5 red marbles."
There are 4 blue marbles right?
OpenStudy (anikate):
no 2 blue
OpenStudy (anonymous):
Type the problem again?
OpenStudy (anikate):
a bag contains 2 green marbles, 4 blue marbles, and 5 red marbles. What is the probability of choosing 2 blue marbles if the first marble is returned to the bag before the second marble is chosen?
OpenStudy (anikate):
um hello?
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
ready?
OpenStudy (anikate):
yes
OpenStudy (anonymous):
we do this in 3 easy steps
OpenStudy (anonymous):
how many marbles in the bag total?
OpenStudy (anikate):
11 marbles
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
right. how many are blue?
OpenStudy (anikate):
4 blue marble
OpenStudy (anonymous):
exactly. now what is the probability that if you pick one at random you get a blue one?
OpenStudy (anikate):
4/11
OpenStudy (anonymous):
which is the same question as "what is the ratio of the number of blue marbles to the total number of marbles?"
yes you have it!
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OpenStudy (anikate):
but
OpenStudy (anonymous):
so the probability the first marble is 4/11
OpenStudy (anikate):
o
OpenStudy (anonymous):
we are not done yet, but almost
OpenStudy (anikate):
wait
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
i wait
OpenStudy (anikate):
4/ll for blue
OpenStudy (anikate):
right
OpenStudy (anonymous):
yes
OpenStudy (anikate):
k
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
site is slow be patient
OpenStudy (anonymous):
ok now if you are going to pick two blue marbles, both the first and second have to be blue. that is clear yes?
OpenStudy (anikate):
yup
OpenStudy (anonymous):
so you know your first marble was blue, otherwise you cannot pick 2 blue ones yes?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
now you have picked a blue marble. you put it back in the bag. how many marbles are in the bag?
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OpenStudy (anikate):
11
OpenStudy (anonymous):
how many are blue?
OpenStudy (anikate):
4
OpenStudy (anonymous):
yes
what is the probability you pick a blue marble on the second try?
OpenStudy (anikate):
4/11
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
exactly!
OpenStudy (anonymous):
ok now we finish the question. in order for them BOTH to be blue we must pick a blue marble on the first try AND pick a blue marble on the second try yes?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
Good stuff satellite.
OpenStudy (anonymous):
yeah well now comes the tricky part!
OpenStudy (anonymous):
for the probability that BOTH are blue we have to take the probability of each and multiply them together!
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OpenStudy (anikate):
16/121
OpenStudy (anonymous):
our last job is to take
\[\frac{4}{11}\times \frac{4}{11}\]
OpenStudy (anonymous):
that is what i get, yes. you have it and we are done unless you want to do another one
OpenStudy (anikate):
i have other questions
OpenStudy (anonymous):
ask one here and we can do it together
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OpenStudy (anikate):
k
OpenStudy (anikate):
here it goes
OpenStudy (anikate):
there is a prisoner
OpenStudy (anikate):
and there are 3 routes for her to escape
OpenStudy (anikate):
route A has 1/4 chances of being successful
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OpenStudy (anikate):
route b is 1/5
OpenStudy (anikate):
route c is 1/6
OpenStudy (anonymous):
got it so far
OpenStudy (anikate):
and
OpenStudy (anikate):
the probability of selecting each route is 1/3
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OpenStudy (anikate):
what is the probability that she might successfully escape by using road B
OpenStudy (anonymous):
ok got it
OpenStudy (anonymous):
we proceed just like the last one.
OpenStudy (anikate):
k
OpenStudy (anonymous):
first if she is going to get out using road B two things must happen.
first she must choose road B yes?
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OpenStudy (anikate):
yes
OpenStudy (anonymous):
what is that probability?
OpenStudy (anikate):
probability of selecting each route is 1/3
OpenStudy (anikate):
2 minutes i will be right back
OpenStudy (anonymous):
ok so it is 1/3
then if she select road B what is the probability that she escapes?
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
ok write when you get back
OpenStudy (anikate):
1/5
OpenStudy (anonymous):
ok got it
OpenStudy (anonymous):
now what is the probability that they BOTH occur?
OpenStudy (anikate):
huh?
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OpenStudy (anonymous):
first the prisoner has to pick the road. then he has to escape. BOTH have to happen yes?
OpenStudy (anonymous):
same as previous problem where BOTH marbles have to be blue