why are there so many kinds of random variable like binomial, poisson and normal? can someone tell me the differences?
Poisson?
yup!
binomial, poisson and normal are distributions of random variables not random variables.
what do you mean by distributions of random variables?
a "random variable" is a function. bad name because it is neither random, not a variable.
omg and what is a function?
I'm going to have a hard time explaining distributions if u don't know what a function is....
in the simplest probability case a function will take the "outcome" of your experiment and send it to a number. this sounds abstract but think of a simple example roll two dice. imagine you get (3,4) if your random variable is simply the sum of faces, it would send this to 7
flip a coin 4 times and say your random variable counts how many heads you have. then it would send (h t h h) to the number 3, because you go 3 heads
function is just a result is it?
The problem is that the best description of of a random variable (it's density) requires very many observations so it is often convenient to describe a random variable by a single number (ie a statistic).
go bet $50 on a horse race. if you win you get $150 if you lose you lose your $50 if the random variable is your winnings, then it sends (win) to 150 and (lose) to -50
no the result is just the result. the function sends the result to a number
here is a simple one. flip a coin. the outcome can be H or T a random variable could send H to 1 and T to 0
ummmm hmm and what about domain and range what are they
if we call that random variable X, then we say \[X(H)+1\] and \[X(T)=0\]
the domain of a random variable is the sample space of your experiment. set of possible outcomes
range is whatever it is. for example in my simple case above, the range of X was 1 and 0
i am giving obviously the simplest possible example to get the concept. it get more complicated quick
Yes, pinning down random variables is a bit tricky...
all this while i was thinking random variables are just lets say in a sample, we have so many random variables like in a sample of height of ppl. we have many many different heights so those heights are rv.. am i right?
that is just a "random variable" the "distribution" is something different. it is itself a function, which gives the probability that a random variable takes on its values
not quite
then what is it.......
lets call your random variable "height"
your input is your set of people your output is their heights
Repeating myself: The problem is that the best description of of a random variable (it's density) requires very many observations so it is often convenient to describe a random variable by a single number (ie a statistic).
so it sends Joe to 5'9'' Tom to 6'2'' Mary to 5'6'' etc
@estudier this may be a statistic version of it i am not familair
oh! rv is the height!
in your example yes
in my simple example the input of the random variable is H or T and the output is 1 or 0
lets imagine you play the lottery. do you?
why is there numbers??? i thought a coin just has out put head or tail? input also head or tail..
nup! am a student
but i know lottery!
yes the coin comes up heads or tails. but i made up a random variable that says "if you get H, put 1 and if you get T put 0"
then if i flip a coin ten times and add these up it tells me how many heads i get
uh huh
back to the lotter. you buy a ticket for $1 if you win you win $500 and of you don't you lose your $1 right?
u lose ur one dollar! if you lose
yup yup!
so i can say let X be the amount you win. then X takes on two values. X could be 500 (i win) or X could be -1( you lose)
in math we can write this as X(win) = 500. X(lose) = -1
uh huh!
now lets say the probability i win is .002 and the probability i lose is therefore .998
so now i know the probability that X takes on its two values those probabilities are .002 and .998
yup
so i can say \[P(X=500)=.002\] and \[P(X=-1)=.998\]
OMG COOL!
now these alphabets make some sense now..
in english, the probability that X is 500 (meaning i win) is .002 and the probability that X is -1 (meaning i lose) is .998
yup yup yup!!
so i have my random variable, it is X i know the probability it takes on each of its two values. together they give the DISTRIBUTION OF THE RANDOM VARIABLE
now this was a very very simple example. you can imagine it gets deep quick. but at least we have the idea right? a random variable is a function that assigns a number to the outcome of an experiment
oooooooooooookkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk.............. so whats with the poisson and and.... who is that binomial....normaal........
yup! got it more or less
and the "distribution" of the random variable is a description of the probability that it takes on each of its values
now i don't have a quick snap answer to these, especially not poisson but i can give you an idea. start with binomial. lets say you flip a coin 4 times. not a fair coin, a coin where the probability you get heads is .2 and the probability you get tails is .8
let X be the random variable that counts the number of heads. so for example X sends the outcome (h t t t) to the number 1 cause you got one head
the possible values of X are 0, 1, 2, 3 and 4 since those are the number of heads you can get.
\[P(X=0)=(.8)^4\] because it means you got 4 tails in a row
can we discuss this on msn it's so lagging here
\[P(X=1)=4\times .2\times (.8)^3\] because you got 1 head, 3 tails and there are four ways to do this. finish out this scheme for \[P(X)=2,P(X)=3,P(X)=4\] and you will have a binomial distribution. if that is not clear, and my guess is it isn't, you need to understand the basics (am a not judging, just suggesting) before you will understand what a distribution of a random variable is
i've through my notes a few times already am just almost memorizing though i do understand but idea isn't very there..
read
The outcome of a die roll is not predictable although u know that it will be in 1 to 6 (range). The outcome is a random variable. The function that specifies the probability that k will be a value in the range is p_k = 1/6 (and the sum of all the p_k's in the range is 1). An experiment that measures p_k directly will provide an estimation. p_k = n_k/N which is just the relative frequency of k in N throws. n_k/N is a random number. U can describe this scenario with a distribution and if u take a set of random numbers from the distribution it will in principle reflect the probabilities described.
hi im quite lost in the sea of words
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