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A thirty year old women decides to pay $390 for a one-year life insurance policy with coverage of $150,000. The probability of her living through the year is 0.9976. What is her expected value for the insurance policy?
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cost * probability, but that 150000 is either noise ... or used someplace. My gut says its noise
or, we can go this route
-390 * P(living) + 150000 * P(dieing)
if she lives, she loses 390 if she dies, she wins 150000 .... in theory lol
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