you have a 3 card deck containing a king, queen, and a jack. you draw a random card then, without putting it back, you draw a second random card from the ones that are left. what is the probability that you will draw exactly one queen?
Well, you can't draw two, now can you?
Best way to say this is P(Q on first draw ) = 1/3 given failure + 2/3 1/2 = 1/3 total = 2/3
Nevermind...I think I got the wording now. I think it's asking what the odds are that your second card will be a queen. The odds of the first card being a queen is 1 in 3. The odds of the second card being a queen (if I'm not mistaken) would be: \[(\frac{2}{3})(\frac{1}{2})=\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3}\]
Seems good. Notice by symmetry the odds should be equal to get any particular card on the second draw, hence P = 1/3.
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