A student studying for a vocabulary test knows the meanings of 10 words from a list of 26 words. If the test contains 10 words from the study list, what is the probability that at least 8 of the words on the test are words that the student knows?
This can be found by using the hypergeometric distribution. The probability that exactly 8 words are known is: \[P(8known)=\frac{\left(\begin{matrix}10 \\ 8\end{matrix}\right)\left(\begin{matrix}16 \\ 2\end{matrix}\right)}{\left(\begin{matrix}26 \\ 10\end{matrix}\right)}\] The probability that exactly 9 words are known is: \[P(9known)=\frac{\left(\begin{matrix}10 \\ 9\end{matrix}\right)\left(\begin{matrix}16 \\ 1\end{matrix}\right)}{\left(\begin{matrix}26 \\ 10\end{matrix}\right)}\] The probability that exactly 10 words are known is: \[P(10known)=\frac{\left(\begin{matrix}10 \\ 10\end{matrix}\right)\left(\begin{matrix}16 \\ 0\end{matrix}\right)}{\left(\begin{matrix}26 \\ 10\end{matrix}\right)}\] The probability that at least 8 words are known is the sum of the three values of probability found as above.
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