the data below gives the number of bacteria, in millions, found in a certain culture. CLICKS 2 SEE PLEASE.
Time (hours) -- 0 1 2 3 4
Bacteria ---- 5 8 15 26 48 , consecutively
a. find an exponential function that models the data . B... write the equation part a in terms of base e. C. use the model to estimate the doubling time for the culture.
If we have to use an Expoential Model, Think Ratios! 8/5 = 1.6 15/8 = 1.875 26/15 = 1.7333 48/26 = 1.8462 Okay, it's not perfect. How do you suppose we should build the model? Just guess? Least Squares?
using a formula .
a specific formula ?
Well, yes, we are commanded to use an exponential formula, but how? Which one? I'm going to guess you're not quite ready for Least Squares. Exponential formulas can be of all sorts: \(y=Ae^{bx}\) \(y=A+Be^{cx}\) \(y = \dfrac{A}{B + Ce^{dx}}\) Shall we just pick the simplest?
Sorry, the preview isn't working. It's a little tricky to code the LaTeX to get math expressions.
the simplest, the 1st one ?
Fine. There is still an important choice to make. Since exponentials have CONSTANT ratios, and our data DON'T, what shall we do with that? Any ideas?
make constant ratios out of our data?
Well, we can't just make it be constant when it isn't. The task is to pick a constant ration that approximates the data pretty well. Let's just use the first and last values and see how close we get in the middle. \(\left(\dfrac{48}{5}\right)^{1/4} = 1.76022\) See how this values matches NONE of the ratios we first calculated but does sort of hang around them all?
yes .
Well, then let's just go with it. \(B(t) = 5\cdot 1.76022^{t}\) Try it out. You shoudl be in the neighborhoos for t = 1, 2, and 3, but right on for t = 0 and 4. Lastly, let's review to see if we have fulfilled the requirements of the original problem statement.
you want me to give you the values of everything once i place 1,2, and 3, in for t?
You don't have to give them to me. We're trying to convince you that it's a rational model. You need to believe!
for 2 i got 15.491872242
for 3 i got 27.26910335781324
I think you have it. What say you? Are they looking like they are in the neighborhood of the provided values?
yes .
Okay, I think we're done with Part A. How shall we do Part B?
write an equation from what we just got in base of e terms?
That's it. We have to solve this: \(1.76022 = e^{b}\). It is a delightful little logarithm problem. Here's your chance! Use logarithms to sovle for 'b'.
ln (e^ 1.76022) = ln e^b ?
No, there was no 'e' on the left side.
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