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Mathematics 13 Online
OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

Can anyone help me with this probability table ?

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

What's your question

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

For each column of the table: Find the theoretical probability. Calculate the expected number of heads. Perform the number of trials, tallying the number of heads on scratch paper and recording the actual results in the table. Subtract the expected results from the actual results. Calculate the experimental probability. Find the difference between the theoretical probability and the experimental probability.

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

Number of Trials 50 100 200 400 Theoretical Probability Expected Results Actual Results Difference Experimental Probability Difference %

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

So this is one of those problems where you have to conduct an experiment

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

In this case, all you're doing is flipping a coin 50 times, 100 times, 200 times, and 400 times

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

I understand how to start it , but then I go blank

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

where do you go blank

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

1/2 = X/100 1/2= 50/50= 50/100= 50% multiply by 50/50 to get denominator of 100

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

ok what about this?

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

Ok im trying to find out the Theoretical Probability of a coin tossed 100 times

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

each theoretical probability should be 1/2 this is because in an ideal and perfect world, each side (heads and tails) has an equal and likely chance of landing upwards

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

So say you lived in this perfect world: if you flipped a coin 10 times, you would get exactly 5 heads and 5 tails if you flipped it 20 times, you would get 10 heads and 10 tails if you flipped it 500 times, you would get 250 heads and 250 tails

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

so I would take 1/2 and cross multiply it by 100 over X

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

yes if you do that and solve for x, you'll get 50% like you did above

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

it makes sense because 1/2 = 50%

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

the point of this lab is to show that even though the theoretical probability is 1/2, you will NOT get those experimental probabilities

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

Say you pull out a coin and flip it 100 times. We don't live in a perfect world like I described above. So flipping that coin may result in 65 heads and 35 tails. That's not 50/50 like we expected, but nothing is perfect and it's pretty close.

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

If you got 65 heads and 35 tails, then P(Heads) = 65/100 = 13/20 = 0.65 = 65% P(Tails) = 35/100 = 7/20 = 0.35 = 35%

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

This is just one possible outcome of an experiment with 100 trials

OpenStudy (mackenzie2013):

OK, I understand . THank you!

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

To be honest, I don't know how likely 65 heads and 35 tails are in the real world, so I bet when you actually flip that coin 100 times, then you might get something closer to 50/50

jimthompson5910 (jim_thompson5910):

you're welcome

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