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Mathematics 14 Online
OpenStudy (anonymous):

If the probability of success during a single event of a geometric experiment is 0.16, what is the probability of success by the 8th event? Round your answer to the nearest tenth of a percent. A. 82.5% B. 75.2% C. 70.5% D. 79.2%

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

This question is almost exactly the same as one of yours i answered the other day, just with different numbers, but same method: http://openstudy.com/users/briannageorge1#/updates/51a007b4e4b04449b221f739

OpenStudy (anonymous):

so b?

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

I don't know... you didn't show any working so it looks like you just guessed.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

no i was working on it.. .16^8 x .84?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

or .84^8x.16

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

I think this question is actually a bit different, it's not asking for the probability ON the 8th event, they want the probability of it happening by the 8th event. Which looks like you need to add the probability of it happening on the first event, 2nd event, third,... up to the 8th event.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

i added them up and got 1.28

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

What did you add up? You need to add the prob on the first event, 2nd, et (note this is really a geometric series with a=0.16 and r=0.84): 1st: 0.16 2nd: 0.84*0.16 3rd: 0.84^2*0.16 4th: 0.84^3*0.16 5th: 0.84^4*0.16 6th: 0.84^5*0.16 7th: 0.84^6*0.16 8th: 0.84^7*0.16

OpenStudy (anonymous):

.16 + 0.1344 + 0.112896 + 0.09483264 + 0.0796594176 + 0.06691391078 + 0.05620768505 + 0.04721445544

OpenStudy (anonymous):

which equals 0.75212410887

OpenStudy (anonymous):

so thats B!

OpenStudy (anonymous):

thanks for your help

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

No prob. You could've also added it up using the geometric sum formula: http://fym.la.asu.edu/~tturner/MAT_117_online/SequenceAndSeries/geometric_sequence_18.gif

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

\[\Large S = 0.16\left( \frac{ 1- 0.84^8 }{ 1-0.84 } \right)\]

OpenStudy (anonymous):

@agent0smith , so that means that this is true? The expression P(1-P)^n, where P is the probability of success during a single event, represents the probability of success during the nth event of a geometric experiment.

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

Yes, that one tells you the probability of it happening on any single event. But are you sure it's not \[\Large P(1-P)^{n-1}\] since on the first event (n=1) the probability is just P.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

My next question on my quiz is asking me that!

OpenStudy (anonymous):

its true or false

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

http://isites.harvard.edu/fs/docs/icb.topic1197907.files/9-%20GeometricSeries.pdf it has a n-1 (or k-1) here, as i suspected.

OpenStudy (anonymous):

so false??

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

Yes, it's false, it would be \[\Large P(1-P)^{n-1}\]

OpenStudy (anonymous):

you rock!

OpenStudy (agent0smith):

Thanks! :)

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