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these sound like conditional probability problems. let's look at the first one: if the other two dice ar fair, then the probability of rolling a 6 is 1/6, right? so what we can do is condition... \[P( \text{ rolling two }6\text{'s}) \]\[= P(\text{ rolling two }6\text{'s}\cap \text{ fair die is selected})+P(\text{ rolling two }6\text{'s}\cap \text{ weighted die is selected})\]\[=P(\text{ rolling two }6\text{'s}| \text{ fair die is selected})\cdot P( \text{ fair die is selected}) \]\[+ P(\text{ rolling two }6\text{'s}| \text{ weighted die is selected}) \cdot P( \text{ weighted die is selected}) \] \[=\left( \frac{ 1 }{ 36 } \right)\cdot \frac{ 2 }{ 3 }+\left( \frac{ 1 }{ 64 } \right)\cdot \frac{ 1 }{ 3 }\]
for part b, we're going to need to compute this: \[P \left( \text{ rolled the weighted die}|\text{ rolled two }6\text{'s} \right)=\frac{ P \left( \text{ rolled the weighted die}\cap\text{ rolled two }6\text{'s} \right) }{ P \left( \text{ rolled two }6\text{'s} \right) }\] as you can see, the denominator in this one is the answer from part a, and the numerator is just 1/64. I hope this makes sense.
@0202 please have a look...
@pgpilot326 omg yes it finally makes sense! thanks so much...i'm gonna try to do it myself now
cool! do you understand the partitioning... breaking up rolling two 6's into the sum of the intersections?
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