Mary buys 20 tickets in a lottery that has 5000 tickets altogether find the probability that marry will win second price only?
so there is one first prize ticket, and one second prize ticket
mary wants the probability of winning second prize (but not first prize), correct?
yes
20 /5000 first prize and 19 /4999 is second
answer is 498/12475
so you want to know how they got that answer
yes plz
can you double check thats the answer
well what's the probability that the first prize won't be picked?
4980/5000 * 20/4999
no i just asked the probability that the first prize won't be picked. how much is that?
thats not what he got ,
4999/5000
alright and what's the probability that the second prize WILL be picked?
it depends on whether you pick the first prize ticket first or not
and what is that value?
1/ 4999
assuming you picked the first prize
alright then what's the probability that you didn't pick any of the other tickets afterwards?
what other prizes are there, it doesnt mention
there aren't any more. that's what the question tells us
Guys guys... I think you're looking at this from a wrong point of view. she has a 0.4% chance of winning a ticket. Factor that into your probability.
the probability of winning first prize is 1/5000 ,
srry my comp died yes the answer is right
ok i think i have an idea,
@ayeshaafzal221 you said "19 /4999 is second" given that she did not win first place, why are her chances reduced by one?
if it asked for 2nd prize, the probability that triton says would be right. when asked ONLY first prize, that's when a lot more values get important
yes @Triton my bad
did you get it perl?
im not sure
ohk thank of trying guys , tomorrow i ll ask my teacher
but that's a 1 in 5000 chance :S
I have no idea how they got to that.
its tree diagram question
the first ticket, to get it was 20 out of 5000. to NOT get it was 4980/5000
the second ticket, to get it was 20 out of 4999, if the first one WASN'T picked. If it was, 19/4999 but it wasn't so it's the first value
since the 2nd ticket WAS picked, you only have 19 tickets, but since every ticket after that WASN'T picked you get for the third one, you have to get the probability that every ticket won't be picked after that.
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