Mary buys 20 tickets in a lottery that has 5000 tickets altogether. Find the probability that Mary will win b) 2nd prize only c) neither first nor second prize
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yeah
btw, the question is a little ambiguous. Mary wins by simply getting that winning ticket? or by getting the right combination of numbers?
how many *first* or *second" price ticket are there?
yes i think so, just by getting the 2nd prize ticket and i assume there is only one
so there is once first price and one second price? no third, fourth and so on?
maybe we need more information to solve this question
well you're asking, so you need to tell me
for example, we need to know if these are the only prizes. is there a third prize
it might be easier if we change the question to, Mary buys 2 tickets
so here is how I understand it. 5000 tickets. 1 first price ticket, 1 second price ticket. The rest are losing tickets. I she bought 20 tickets. Is this what you meant?
yes
This is a dependent event. I'll work on it
P(2nd price) = (20C1) (1/5000) * (4998/4999) (4997/4998) * .. * (4980/4081) ≈ 0.003984797
P(neither 1st nor 2nd) = (4998 permute 20) / (5000 permute 20) ≈ 0.992015203
actually P(neither 1st or 2nd) = P( (1st and 2nd)' ) = 1 - P(1st and 2nd) 1 - (20! / (18!)) (4998 permute 18) / (5000 permute 20) ≈ 999984797
sorry i was away, i wish i could at this now
i will be sure to comment on this, when i get a chance ,
afk,
what I wasn't sure is whether "neither 1st nor 2nd" means (not 1st or not 2nd) or (not 1st and not 2nd). The two are not equivalent. I cctually did both cases
i believe 0.992015203 is correct
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