A certain office building infrequently experiences power outages. It is known that the probability of a power outage on any given day is 0.005, and power outages are independent of each other. a) What is the probability that during any given 400 day period there will be one day with a power outage? b) What is the probability that power outages will occur on more than three days during the 400 day period?
a) 400*.005 b) 400*.005*.005*.005 (Not sure on this one)
@whpalmer4
@perl
@whpalmer4
a) 400 *.005
b) Let's define a variable X = # of days of power outtage in 400 days. so X can equal 0,1,2,3... 400 we want probability P ( X > 3 )
Now the complement is much easier since P(X>3) = P( X = 4) + P(X=5) + ... P(X = 400). But P(X>3) = 1- P(X<=3 ) = 1 - ( P(x=0) + P(x=1) +P(x=2) +P(x=3) )
I did part a like this == pr= (1/400)*0.005
it should be, n*p
400 * .005
@perl 1-(1/400+2/399+3/398)x0.005 for part B
this is a binomial probability problem P(S) = .995 P(F) = .005 we want 1 - [ P( X = 0 ) + P( X = 1) + P( X = 2) + P( X = 3) ] 1 - ( .995^400 + (400 choose 1) * .995^399 * .005 + (400 Choose 2)*.995^398*.005^2+ (400 choose 3) * .995^397 * .005^3 )
@whpalmer4
What are you tagging me for when @perl is right there helping you?
it dose not make sense , cuz he is multiply success and failure prpbabilities with each other in same time ,
@whpalmer4
I have to leave, perhaps @mathmale can help you.
kalyan, this is a similar question http://users.rowan.edu/~schultzl/TI/binomial_StatI.pdf
sorry i dont understand your question
b) 1 - binomcdf( 400, .005, 3) = .1424
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