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OpenStudy (anonymous):

Probability problem

OpenStudy (anonymous):

P(A & B) = 1/2 and P(A' & B')=1/3 and P(A)=p and P(B)=2p then find p ?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

options are 1/3 4/9 1/9 7/18 i thought all you have to do is P(A & B)= P(A) X P(B) but its not working :(

OpenStudy (anonymous):

is the answer 7/18? that's what i am getting

OpenStudy (anonymous):

you can only apply that formula when A and B are independent events, which, unfortunately is not mentioned in this case, so that will not work

OpenStudy (anonymous):

hey arnab...how you are getting 7/18?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

\[P(A' \cap B')= P( A \cup B)'= 1- P( A \cup B)\] \[P(A \cup B)= P(A)+P(B)-P(A \cap B)\] given that P(A)=p, P(B)= 2p, P(AB)=1/2 and P(A'B')=1/3 from that equation 1, we get \[1-P(A \cup B)= 1/3, P(A \cup B)= 2/3\] so,\[2/3=p+2p-1/2\] solve for p

OpenStudy (anonymous):

you will get 3p=7/6, so, p=7/18

OpenStudy (anonymous):

ohh yeah that seems perfectly right but i am wondering that why is this solution not valid: 2p + p =1, 3p=1, p=1/3 i know thats stupid but seems legit

OpenStudy (anonymous):

see, when you are equating 2p+p=1, that means only events A and B are possible.. unfortunately that is not mentioned here, there may be event D,E,F etc that have some probability of occurrence too, so p+2p=1 may not be the case all the time

OpenStudy (anonymous):

got it?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

thanks aranb but i am having trouble finding the proof of the first line in your solution...

OpenStudy (anonymous):

@Arnab09

OpenStudy (anonymous):

you know the identity right? \[A' \cap B'= (A \cup B)'\]

OpenStudy (anonymous):

naa i dont know that....if you can give me a pointer where i can see the proof......because thats also important

OpenStudy (anonymous):

you want rigorous proof right?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

yes...i want to learn that

OpenStudy (anonymous):

i don't know link, but i can give you the proof. do you know this? \[if A \subseteq B and B \subseteq A\] then A=B

OpenStudy (anonymous):

yes

OpenStudy (anonymous):

wait while i solve this and upload

OpenStudy (anonymous):

ok

OpenStudy (anonymous):

I sort of understand this concept using the venn diagrams....but i cant get the rigorous proof as you said...

OpenStudy (anonymous):

yes, wait, i am uploading

OpenStudy (anonymous):

OpenStudy (anonymous):

see that^^

OpenStudy (anonymous):

thanks that was very helpful of you!

OpenStudy (anonymous):

you are welcome :)

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