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Let there be n red marbles in the bag. P(getting 16 red marbles) = 48C16 (n/45)^16 ((45-n)/45)^29 This probability needs to be very high. We need to maximize it http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=maximize+C%2848%2C16%29+%28n%2F45%29%5E16+%28%2845-n%29%2F45%29%5E29++
You infact only need to find that value of n for which n^16 * (45-n)^29 is max f(n) = n^16 * (45-n)^29 f'(n) = n^15 * (45-n)^28 (16 (45-n) - 29n) SInce n >0 and n<45 is our basic assumption, we get f'(n) = 0 only when 16(45-n) = 29n or n=16 f"(16) <0, hence this must be a point of maxima
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