WILL MEDAL. Two marbles are to be pulled from a bag that contains 2 yellow marbles, 4 green marbles, and 6 orange marbles. After the first marble is drawn, it is not replaced What is the probability that both marbles will be the same color?
Bag: 2Y 4G 6O, draw two without replacement. How many in all?
12 in all @mathmate
Good! Have you learned about "combinations", such as \(C^4_2\)?
no
Can you name me the outcomes that could be considered "success"?
im not quite sure how to do this.
Is YY a success, or is YG a success?
yy?
Success is considered the events that are included in our calculation of probabilities.
Correct! Can you name all events that are successes?
gg and oo?
Perfect. Now you will have to calculate the probability of the three cases which lead to success, namely YY, GG and OO. So far so good?
so would it be y * y and g*g or?
@mathmate
@sar12389 Say, what is the probability of getting a Y on the first draw?
2/12
4/12 g and 6/12 o @mathmate
Good, have you done the multiplication law?
im not sure
Good, all three are correct for the _first_ draw. Now what is the probability of getting another Y after the first Y?
1/12?
3/12 g and 5/12 o
@mathmate
For YY, first one is 2/12, second is 1/11 (they do not replace). So by the multiplication law, the probability of YY is (2/12)*(1/11)=2/132. You can try the other two. The answer is the sum of all three, P(YY)+P(GG)+P(OO).
so 43/132 ? what would the percent be @mathmate
i have to choose from 79.5%, 81.5% , 85% or 90%
i have to choose from 79.5%, 81.5% , 85% or 90%
You would do a division of 43/132. For probability, I prefer to keep the fractions. Note: I think I got a different number. Can you check?
i got 0.3257
@mathmate
That corresponds to 43/132. As I said, 0.3257 is a (rounded) approximately number. 43/132 is exact, which is preferred in probabilities. But I get a slightly different number than 43/132.
what is the percent? @mathmate
I get (2*1+4*3+6*5)/(12*11)=1/3=33% for two marbles of the same colour, and (2*10+4*8+6*6)/(12*11)=2/3=67% for two marbles of different colours. I do not know from where the choices came. All I can suggest is to reread the question to make sure there are no typos.
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