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Mathematics 13 Online
OpenStudy (anonymous):

Help with probability?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

What is the probability that the thirty-two residents of Lamont have thirty-two different birthdays? What is the probability that there is at least one birthday coincidence in Lamont?

OpenStudy (beaucieldemerveilles):

Do you know what formula you are supposed to use?

OpenStudy (anonymous):

uh no sorry, ill try looking for it though (i think it has something to do with combinations?)

OpenStudy (beaucieldemerveilles):

i'm not really focused right now, so i don't think i will be of much help, i can't wrap my head around this problem, sorry, but i think i'm going to have to guess when i say this has something to do dependent and independent events, but i think that's wrong

OpenStudy (anonymous):

would it be this? (365_P_n)/(365^n) where P is permutation and n is the number of ppl (so 32)

OpenStudy (perl):

$$ \large \begin{align} \bar p(n) &= 1 \times \left(1-\frac{1}{365}\right) \times \left(1-\frac{2}{365}\right) \times \cdots \times \left(1-\frac{n-1}{365}\right) \\ &= { 365 \times 364 \times \cdots \times (365-n+1) \over 365^n } \\ \end{align} $$

OpenStudy (perl):

$$ {\begin{align} \bar p(n) &= 1 \times \left(1-\frac{1}{365}\right) \times \left(1-\frac{2}{365}\right) \times \cdots \times \left(1-\frac{n-1}{365}\right) \\ &= { 365 \times 364 \times \cdots \times (365-n+1) \over 365^n } \\ \end{align} \\~\\~\\\\ \bar p(32)= 1 \times \left(1-\frac{1}{365}\right) \times \left(1-\frac{2}{365}\right) \times \cdots \times \left(1-\frac{32-1}{365}\right) \\ ={ 365 \times 364 \times \cdots \times (365-32+1) \over 365^n } } $$

OpenStudy (anonymous):

thanks! so would that just be 365 permutation 32?

OpenStudy (perl):

correct , for the numerator

OpenStudy (anonymous):

Alright, thank you!

OpenStudy (anonymous):

And for the second part should be completable by following this formula right? http://www.regentsprep.org/Regents/math/ALGtrig/ATS7/BLesso4.gif

OpenStudy (perl):

$$ {\begin{align} \bar p(n) &= 1 \times \left(1-\frac{1}{365}\right) \times \left(1-\frac{2}{365}\right) \times \cdots \times \left(1-\frac{n-1}{365}\right) \\ &= { 365 \times 364 \times \cdots \times (365-n+1) \over 365^n } =\frac{_{365}P_n}{365^n}\\ \end{align} \\~\\~\\\\ \bar p(32)= 1 \times \left(1-\frac{1}{365}\right) \times \left(1-\frac{2}{365}\right) \times \cdots \times \left(1-\frac{32-1}{365}\right) \\ ={ 365 \times 364 \times \cdots \times (365-32+1) \over 365^{32} } =\frac{_{365}~P~_{32}}{365^{32}} } $$

OpenStudy (perl):

P( not all 32 birthdays are different) = 1 - P( all 32 are different)

OpenStudy (anonymous):

oh lolol i just realized sorry that was a really stupid question, ty for the help haha

OpenStudy (perl):

no problem :)

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