Probablity question
\(\large \color{black}{\begin{align} & \normalsize \text{India plays two matches each with New Zealand and South Africa.} \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{ In any match , the probability of different outcomes for India} \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{ is given below -} \hspace{.33em}\\~\\~\\~\\ & \begin{array}{|c|c|c|} \hline \text{Outcome} & \text{Win} & \text{Loss} & \text{Draw} \\ \hline \text{Probablity} & 0.5 & 0.45 & 0.05 \\ \hline \text{Points} & 2 & 0 & 1 \\ \hline \end{array} & \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{1.) What is the probablity india getting atleast 7 points .} \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{in the contest ? assume south africa and newzealand } \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{play 2 matches. } \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{2.) What is the probablity Soth africa getting atleast 4 points .} \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ & \normalsize \text{ assume south africa and newzealand play 2 matches. } \hspace{.33em}\\~\\ \end{align}}\)
you have to do it case by case prob(8pts) = (.5)^4 because they have to win all 4 games prob(7pts) = 4*(.5)^3 *.05 because you have to win 3 and tie 1 (there are 4 ways this could happen) to find "at least 7 pts", you must add up prob(7) + prob(8)
how come this prob(8pts) = (.5)^4
there is .5 chance of winning each match, each match is independent event, so multiply probabilites .5*.5*.5*.5 = (.5)^4
ok then here where \(\color{red}{4}\) comes from prob(7pts) = \(\color{red}{4}\)*(.5)^3 *.05
ok there are 4 ways to have 2221 1222 2122 2212 is it this ?
correct
for part 2, there are more cases you need to find p(4), p(5), p(6), p(7), p(8) and add them all up
actually it may be easier to find p(0), p(1), p(2), p(3) then subtract there total from 1 \[P(x \ge 4) = 1 - P(x<4)\]
thanks
Join our real-time social learning platform and learn together with your friends!