Five cards are dealt from a standard 52-card deck. What is the probability that we draw a 1 ace, 1 two, 1 three, 1 four, and 1 five (this is one way to get a “straight”)?
four choices for each up top right? and \[\binom{52}{5}\] for the denominator
Yes, I've got the denom!
The probability of each on their own is 4/52, but I know that changes as you draw each down to 4/51, 4/50, etc...but how do I express that?
I still don't know what goes in the denominator. I can reliably determine the denominator, but I have no clue what's on top!
the denomator is the number of ways you can choose 5 cards from a set of 52
OH sorry, I meant numerator!!
in other words "52 choose 5" written as \[\binom{52}{5}\] or sometimes \[_{52}C_5\]
I meant I don't know what goes in the numerator! Silly me! Typo.
computed via \[\frac{52\times 51\times 50\times 49\times 48}{5!}\]
I was thinking, yes yes I know the denominator. Why is he/she telling me? I realize my mistake. Numerator is the concern.
ooh numerator
Yeah sorry! Thanks for your patience!
4 choices for each, so \(4\times 4\times 4\times 4\times 4\)
I don't really get where that's coming from.. hmm. Why can it just be 4s?
4 choices of aces right?
Yes, but there's more going on it seems. Why is it not including the reducing total or something like 4/52, 4/51, 4/50, /4/49
that is taken care of in the denominator
It is? Ahh alright...Your answer is right, but I'll have to ask my teacher for clarification about why it's taken care of. It's late and I won't mess with that. Thank you!
think of it this way it is all the "counting principle" if the number of ways to do one thing is n and another m, then there are \(n\times m\) ways to go it together
4 ways to get an ace, 4 ways to get a 2 etc so \(4^5\) ways all together
Okay, I think I understand. The numerator is always the wild card for me
then the number of ways to pick the 5 cards is 52 choose 5, which is again really the counting principle in action
if it was for example 3 spades and two clubs, the answer would be \[\frac{\binom{13}{3}\binom{13}{2}}{\binom{52}{5}}\]
these kind of problems, the question is always "how many ways"
I don't get what you've said. I'm sorry.
I get how they apply in their own situations, but I'm SO bad at generalizing these sorts of rationales
The next question is asking me how ANY straight could be obtained and I don't even know where to start.
oh that is ok we are almost there
Like what goes on top? No idea.
it's no longer just 4s, and it's not comb(13,2) either. So it's a complete effing mystery to my mind.
we got one straight right? one that begins with an ace and ends with a 5
yep!
ok so now we know the probability of that particular straight (that is why that question came first)
now all we have to do is figure out how many different possible straights there are
no idea!
so we count them!
not a poker player i guess huh?
Not in a million years.
ace to 5 2 to 6 3 to 7 4 to 8 5 to 9 6 to 10 7 to jack 8 to queen 9 to king 10 to ace
i count ten
Okay.
btw you can't have for example jack to 2
so we are done
multiply the above answer by 10
oh. So .000394 *10
i.e. \[\frac{10\times 4^5}{\binom{52}{5}}\]
oh if you had the previous answer then yeah move the decimal one to the left
right
whatever
That's not quite right.
The answer is .00355
i get \[0.00394\]
So did I, from what you told me. The textbook says it's .00355
they are wrong
umm..
ok?
unless...
you are supposed to subtract the number of flushes which i doubt
I have no idea. This is all bullcrap to me. I don't like math.
Let STATA do it, that's what I say.
But I'll put down the answer we worked out and ask later.
Thanks for your help.
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