A box contains 4 red and 5 green marbles. If 5 marbles are drawn without replacement, what is the expected number of red marbles?
multiply
@satellite73 Multiply what?
total number of marbles = 9 4 are red so first draw = 4/5 2nd draw 3/8 ( we already picked one red marble that gives us 4-1 =3 subtract one from total number of marbles 9-1= 8) 3rd draw = 2/7 ^ 4th = 1/6 5th = 0/5 now multiply all fraction i hope that's correct :D
oh wait no :D
on the first draw how is it 4/5?
typo 4/9**
hmm that looks incorrect hmm
@Nnesha so will it be right after the 4/9 correction?
hmm i'm not sure about 0/5 that will give us 0 as a final answer hmm
i got 24/3024 as the answer but that doesn't seem right because we aren't asking for probability
ok i lied, this is more complicated that in looks
the probability you get 0 red is 0 (one has to be red)
the probabiliy you get exactly one red is \[\frac{\binom{4}{1}\binom{5}{4}}{\binom{9}{5}}\]
ok
then you do that for 2 and 3 and 4
that is not really so hard to compute as it looks \[\frac{4\times 5}{126}\]
yeah then repeat for 2, 3, 4 then multiply, then add
1 times the probability you get 1, plus 2 times the probability you get 2 etc
there may be a simpler way to do it but i don't know it i would cheat
@satellite73 for the denominator would it be going down by one every time because it says without replacement?
no
that is taken in to consideration when you use the formula
oh okay
why am i multiplying 2 times the probability of getting 2?
the pobabilty you get for example 3 red and 2 white is \[\frac{\binom{4}{3}\binom{5}{2}}{\binom{9}{5}}\]
because that is how you get an expected value the number you get times the probability you get it
oh
\[P(x=1)+2 P(x=2)+3P(x=3)+4P(x=4)\]
in this case
more if there are more possibilities
I get a huge number when I do that
i got this, but i wouldn't bet more that $7 on it not at all http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=20%2F126%2B2%284+choose+2%29%285+choose+3%29%2F126%2B3%284+choose+3%29%285+choose+2%29%2F126%2B+4*5%2F126
it is not huge
we can do them one at a time if you like
that was right :D
imagine!
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