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OpenStudy (anonymous):
???
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
A player tosses a coin. He sets one point for head and 2 points for tail He plays till he gets sum of
points equal to n. If \(\bf p_n\) be the probability that his score becomes `n`, then
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
I have doubt in p1 !
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
I think p1 should be 1 .
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
am i correct ? @ganeshie8 and @UnkleRhaukus
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OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
would it only be 0.5 ?
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
how ?
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
To get n=1, only one way is there , get head
OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
if heads then the player gets 1
if tails the player gets 2 ≠ 1
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
yep !
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OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
but we have to find p1 i.e n=1
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
only one chance is there
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
get head
OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
but that outcome is only 50% likely
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
i know
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OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
but i am confused
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
see we have to find probability for getting n=1
Two chances are there
1) getting head
2) getting tail
But we have to find n=1 which can only done by getting head
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
where am i wrong ?
Find probability when n=1
and only one chance is there
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
i am confused !!!
:(
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
I know tail can be come but it does not satisfy our condition yet
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OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
for the first flip:
one favourable outcome ÷ two possible outcomes
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
oh ! i get it now
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
Thanks for your help @UnkleRhaukus
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
Favourable Outcome is 1 and total outcomes are 2
OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
notice that if you miss the 1 on the first coin flip, you will never get 1, even after infinite flips
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OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
why ?
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
@UnkleRhaukus
OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
because the sum of some positive numbers (where the first is 2), is always greater than 1
OpenStudy (mayankdevnani):
i don't understand :(
OpenStudy (unklerhaukus):
|dw:1453017441864:dw|
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