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sillybilly123:

Balls

Bearclaws72:

Oh this is nice

Bearclaws72:

I wonder what this is going to be

Tr3:

cool beans

sillybilly123:

There are 3 red and 2 white balls in one box. There are 4 red and 5 white balls in a second box. You select a ball at random, it is red. What are the odds that it came from the second box.

Tr3:

i was in the gutter

sillybilly123:

better than sewer :) GL

ThisGirlPretty:

This is torture o.o worse than finding the probability of something

Vocaloid:

intuitively I am thinking it would just be (# of red balls in second box)/(# of total red balls) since this is a conditional probability

Vocaloid:

that doesn't take into account the relative probabilities of getting red in each box though

sillybilly123:

|dw:1510093942625:dw| its asymetrical

sillybilly123:

\(P(\text{Red}) = \left( \dfrac{1}{2} \times \dfrac{3}{5} \right) + \left( \dfrac{1}{2} \times \dfrac{4}{9} \right) = \dfrac{47}{90}\) \(P(\text{Red from 2nd Box}) = \dfrac{1}{2} \times \dfrac{4}{9} = \dfrac{4}{18}\) Meaning that: \(P(\text{Red}) = \dfrac{94}{\color{red}{180}}\) \(P(\text{Red from 2nd Box}) = \dfrac{40}{\color{red}{180}}\) Which is 180 random walks..... so \(P(\text{Red from 2nd Box} | \text{Red}) = \dfrac{40}{94} = \dfrac{20}{47}\)

sillybilly123:

It was a great question, ruined by the usual white noise.

sillybilly123:

|dw:1510094477342:dw|

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